GENWiki

Premier IT Outsourcing and Support Services within the UK

User Tools

Site Tools


rfc:rfc8963



Independent Submission C. Huitema Request for Comments: 8963 Private Octopus Inc. Category: Informational January 2021 ISSN: 2070-1721

          Evaluation of a Sample of RFCs Produced in 2018

Abstract

 This document presents the author's effort to understand the delays
 involved in publishing an idea in the IETF or through the Independent
 Stream, from the first individual draft to the publication of the
 RFC.  We analyze a set of randomly chosen RFCs approved in 2018,
 looking for history and delays.  We also use two randomly chosen sets
 of RFCs published in 2008 and 1998 for comparing delays seen in 2018
 to those observed 10 or 20 years ago.  The average RFC in the 2018
 sample was produced in 3 years and 4 months, of which 2 years and 10
 months were spent in the working group, 3 to 4 months for IETF
 consensus and IESG review, and 3 to 4 months in RFC production.  The
 main variation in RFC production delays comes from the AUTH48 phase.
 We also measure the number of citations of the chosen RFC using
 Semantic Scholar, and compare citation counts with what we know about
 deployment.  We show that citation counts indicate academic interest,
 but correlate only loosely with deployment or usage of the
 specifications.  Counting web references could complement that.

Status of This Memo

 This document is not an Internet Standards Track specification; it is
 published for informational purposes.
 This is a contribution to the RFC Series, independently of any other
 RFC stream.  The RFC Editor has chosen to publish this document at
 its discretion and makes no statement about its value for
 implementation or deployment.  Documents approved for publication by
 the RFC Editor are not candidates for any level of Internet Standard;
 see Section 2 of RFC 7841.
 Information about the current status of this document, any errata,
 and how to provide feedback on it may be obtained at
 https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8963.

Copyright Notice

 Copyright (c) 2021 IETF Trust and the persons identified as the
 document authors.  All rights reserved.
 This document is subject to BCP 78 and the IETF Trust's Legal
 Provisions Relating to IETF Documents
 (https://trustee.ietf.org/license-info) in effect on the date of
 publication of this document.  Please review these documents
 carefully, as they describe your rights and restrictions with respect
 to this document.

Table of Contents

 1.  Introduction
 2.  Methodology
   2.1.  Defining the Important Milestones
   2.2.  Selecting a Random Sample of RFCs
   2.3.  Conventions Used in This Document
 3.  Analysis of 20 Selected RFCs
   3.1.  RFC 8411
   3.2.  RFC 8456
   3.3.  RFC 8446
   3.4.  RFC 8355
   3.5.  RFC 8441
   3.6.  RFC 8324
   3.7.  RFC 8377
   3.8.  RFC 8498
   3.9.  RFC 8479
   3.10. RFC 8453
   3.11. RFC 8429
   3.12. RFC 8312
   3.13. RFC 8492
   3.14. RFC 8378
   3.15. RFC 8361
   3.16. RFC 8472
   3.17. RFC 8471
   3.18. RFC 8466
   3.19. RFC 8362
   3.20. RFC 8468
 4.  Analysis of Process and Delays
   4.1.  Delays from First Draft to RFC
   4.2.  Working Group Processing Time
   4.3.  Preparation and Publication Delays
   4.4.  Copy Editing
   4.5.  Independent Stream
 5.  Citation Counts
   5.1.  Citation Numbers
   5.2.  Comparison to 1998 and 2008
   5.3.  Citations versus Deployments
   5.4.  Citations versus Web References
 6.  Observations and Next Steps
 7.  Security Considerations
 8.  IANA Considerations
 9.  Informative References
 Acknowledgements
 Author's Address

1. Introduction

 As stated on the organization's web site, "The IETF is a large open
 international community of network designers, operators, vendors, and
 researchers concerned with the evolution of the Internet architecture
 and the smooth operation of the Internet."  The specifications
 produced by the IETF are published in the RFC series, along with
 documents from the IAB, IRTF, and Independent streams (as per RFC
 8729).  In this memo, the author attempts to understand the delays
 involved in publishing an idea in the IETF or through the Independent
 Stream, from the first individual draft to the publication of the
 RFC.  This is an individual effort, and the author's conclusions
 presented here are personal.  There was no attempt to seek IETF
 consensus.
 The IETF keeps records of documents and process actions in the IETF
 Datatracker [TRKR].  The IETF Datatracker provides information about
 RFCs and drafts, from which we can infer statistics about the
 production system.  We can measure how long it takes to drive a
 proposition from initial draft to final publication, and how these
 delays can be split between working group discussions, IETF reviews,
 IESG assessment, RFC Editor delays and final reviews by the authors
 -- or, for Independent Stream RFCs, draft production, reviews by the
 Independent Submissions Editor, conflict reviews, RFC Editor delays
 and final reviews.  Tracker data is available for all RFCs, not just
 IETF Stream RFCs.
 Just measuring production delays may be misleading.  If the IETF or
 the other streams simply rubber-stamped draft proposals and published
 them, the delays would be short but the quality and impact might
 suffer.  We hope that most of the RFCs that are published are useful,
 but we need a way to measure that usefulness.  We try to do that by
 measuring the number of references of the published RFCs in Semantic
 Scholar [SSCH], and also by asking the authors of each RFC in the
 sample whether the protocols and technologies defined in the RFCs
 were implemented and used on the Internet.  The citations measured by
 the Semantic Scholar include citations in other RFCs and in Internet-
 Drafts.  We also measure the number of references on the web, which
 provides some results but would be hard to automate.
 In order to limit the resources required for this study, we selected
 at random 20 RFCs published in 2018, as explained in Section 2.2.
 The statistical sampling picked both IETF Stream and Independent
 Stream documents.  For comparison purposes, we also selected at
 random 20 RFCs published in 1998 and 20 published in 2008.  Limiting
 the sample to 20 out of 209 RFCs published in 2018 allows for in-
 depth analysis of each RFC, but readers should be reminded that the
 this is a small sample.  The sample is too small to apply general
 statistical techniques and quantify specific ratios, and discussions
 of correlation techniques would be inappropriate.  Instead, the
 purpose is to identify trends, spot issues, and document future work.
 The information gathered for every RFC in the sample is presented in
 Section 3.  In Section 4, we analyze the production process and the
 sources of delays, comparing the 2018 sample to the selected samples
 for 1998 and 2018.  In Section 5.1, we present citation counts for
 the RFCs in the samples, and analyze whether citation counts could be
 used to evaluate the quality of RFCs.
 The measurement of delays could be automated by processing dates and
 events recorded in the Datatracker.  The measurement of published
 RFCs could be complemented by statistics on abandoned drafts, which
 would measure the efficiency of the IETF triaging process.  More
 instrumentation would help understanding how large delays happen
 during working group processes.  These potential next steps are
 developed in Section 6.

2. Methodology

 The study reported here started with a simple idea: take a sample of
 RFCs, and perform an in-depth analysis of the path from the first
 presentation of the idea to its publication, while also trying to
 access the success of the resulting specification.  This requires
 defining the key milestones that we want to track, and drawing a
 random sample using an unbiased process.

2.1. Defining the Important Milestones

 The IETF Datatracker records a list of events for each document
 processed by IETF working groups.  This has a high granularity, and
 also a high variability.  Most documents start life as an individual
 draft, are adopted by a working group, undergo a Working Group Last
 Call, are submitted to the IESG, undergo an IETF Last Call and an
 IESG review, get eventually approved by the IESG, and are processed
 for publication by the RFC Editor, but there are exceptions.  Some
 documents are first submitted to one working group and then moved to
 another.  Some documents are published through the Independent
 Stream, and are submitted to the Independent Submissions Editor
 instead of the IESG.
 In order to simplify tabulation, we break the period from the
 submission of the first draft to the publication of the RFC into
 three big components:
  • The working group processing time, from the first draft to the

start of the IETF last call;

  • The IETF processing time, which lasts from the beginning of the

IETF last call to the approval by the IESG, including the reviews

    by various directorates;
  • The RFC production, from approval by the IESG to publication,

including the AUTH48 reviews.

 For submissions to the Independent Stream, we don't have a working
 group.  We consider instead the progression of the individual draft
 until the adoption by the Independent Submissions Editor (ISE) as the
 equivalent of the "Working Group" period, and the delay from adoption
 by the ISE until submission to the RFC Editor as the equivalent of
 the IETF processing time.
 We measure the starting point of the process using the date of
 submission of the first draft listed on that RFC page in the IETF
 Datatracker.  In most cases, this first draft is an individual draft
 that then resubmitted as a working group draft, or maybe resubmitted
 with a new name as the draft was searching for a home in an IETF
 working group, or before deciding for submission on the Independent
 Stream.
 The IETF Datatracker entries for RFCs and drafts do not _always_ list
 working group events like Working Group Last Call.  The only
 intermediate event that we list between the first draft and the
 submission to the IESG is the working group adoption, for which we
 use the date of submission of version 00 of the draft eventually
 published as RFC.  We also use that date (of submission of version
 00) for drafts submitted to the Independent Stream.

2.2. Selecting a Random Sample of RFCs

 Basic production mechanisms could be evaluated by processing data
 from the IETF Datatracker, but subjective data requires manual
 assessment of results, which can be time-consuming.  Since our
 resources are limited, we will only perform this analysis for a small
 sample of RFCs, selected at random from the list of RFCs approved in
 2018.  Specifically, we will pick 20 RFC numbers at random between:
  • RFC 8307, published in January 2018, and
  • RFC 8511, published December 2018.
 The list of 20 selected RFCs is: RFC 8411, RFC 8456, RFC 8446, RFC
 8355, RFC 8441, RFC 8324, RFC 8377, RFC 8498, RFC 8479, RFC 8453, RFC
 8429, RFC 8312, RFC 8492 , RFC 8378, RFC 8361, RFC 8472, RFC 8471,
 RFC 8466, RFC 8362, and RFC 8468.
 When evaluating delays and impact, we will compare the year 2018 to
 2008 and 1998, 10 and 20 years ago.  To drive this comparison, we
 pick 20 RFCs at random among those published in 2008, and another 20
 among those published in 1998.
 The list of the 20 randomly selected RFCs from 2008 is: RFC 5227, RFC
 5174, RFC 5172, RFC 5354, RFC 5195, RFC 5236, RFC 5348, RFC 5281, RFC
 5186, RFC 5326, RFC 5277, RFC 5373, RFC 5404, RFC 5329, RFC 5283, RFC
 5358, RFC 5142, RFC 5271, RFC 5349, and RFC 5301.
 The list of the 20 randomly selected RFCs from 1998 is: RFC 2431, RFC
 2381, RFC 2387, RFC 2348, RFC 2391, RFC 2267, RFC 2312, RFC 2448, RFC
 2374, RFC 2398, RFC 2283, RFC 2382, RFC 2289, RFC 2282, RFC 2404, RFC
 2449, RFC 2317, RFC 2394, RFC 2297, and RFC 2323.

2.3. Conventions Used in This Document

 The following abbreviations are used in the tables:
 BCP   Best Current Practice
 Exp   Experimental
 Info  Informational
 PS    Proposed Standard
 DS    Draft Standard [This maturity level was retired by RFC 6410.]
 In addition, Status is as defined in RFC 2026, and Stream is as
 defined in RFC 8729.

3. Analysis of 20 Selected RFCs

 We review each of the RFCs listed in Section 2.2 for the year 2018,
 trying both to answer the known questions and to gather insight for
 further analyses.  In many cases, the analysis of the data is
 complemented by direct feedback from the RFC authors.

3.1. RFC 8411

 "IANA Registration for the Cryptographic Algorithm Object Identifier
 Range" [RFC8411]:
 Status (Length):    Informational (5 pages)
 Overview:           4 individual drafts
 First draft:        2017-05-08
 Last Call start:    2017-10-09
 IESG eval. start:   2017-12-28
 IESG approved:      2018-02-26 (draft 03)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-04-20
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-07-17
 Published:          2018-08-06
 IANA action:        create table
 This RFC was published from the individual draft, which was not
 resubmitted as a working group draft.
 The draft underwent minor copy editing before publication.
 Some but not all of the long delay in AUTH48 is due to clustering
 with [RFC8410].  MISSREF state concluded on 2018-05-09 and the
 document re-entered AUTH48 at once.  AUTH48 lasted over two months
 after that.  (For state definitions, see <https://www.rfc-
 editor.org/about/queue/#state_def>.)
 The time after AUTH48 and before publication (3 weeks) partly
 overlaps with travel for IETF 102 and is partly due to coordinating
 the cluster.

3.2. RFC 8456

 "Benchmarking Methodology for Software-Defined Networking (SDN)
 Controller Performance" [RFC8456]:
 Status (Length):    Informational (64 pages)
 Overview:           2 individual drafts; 9 WG drafts
 First draft:        2015-03-23
 WG adoption:        2015-10-18
 Last Call start:    2018-01-19
 IESG eval. start:   2018-02-27
 IESG approved:      2018-05-25
 AUTH48 start:       2018-08-31
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-10-16
 Published:          2018-10-30
 The draft underwent extensive copy editing, covering use of articles,
 syntax, and word choice.  The changes are enough to cause pagination
 differences.  The "diff" tool marks pretty much every page as
 changed.  Some diagrams see change in protocol elements like message
 names.
 According to the author, the experience of producing this document
 mirrors a typical one in the Benchmarking Methodologies Working Group
 (BMWG).  There were multiple authors in multiple time zones, which
 slowed down the AUTH48 process somewhat, although the AUTH48 delay of
 46 days is only a bit longer than the average draft.
 The RFC was part of cluster with [RFC8455].
 BMWG publishes Informational RFCs centered around benchmarking, and
 the methodologies in RFC 8456 have been implemented in benchmarking
 products.

3.3. RFC 8446

 "The Transport Layer Security (TLS) Protocol Version 1.3" [RFC8446],
 as the title indicates, defines the new version of the TLS protocol.
 From the IETF Datatracker, we extract the following:
 Status (Length):    Proposed Standard (160 pages)
 Overview:           29 WG drafts
 First draft:        2014-04-17
 Last Call start:    2018-02-15
 IESG eval. start:   2018-03-02
 IESG approved:      2018-03-21 (draft 28)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-06-14
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-08-10
 Published:          2018-08-10
 This draft started as a WG effort.
 The RFC was a major effort in the IETF.  Working group participants
 developed and tested several implementations.  Researchers analyzed
 the specifications and performed formal verifications.  Deployment
 tests outlined issues that caused extra work when the specification
 was almost ready.  This complexity largely explains the time spent in
 the working group.
 Comparing the final draft to the published version, we find
 relatively light copy editing.  It includes explaining acronyms on
 first use, clarifying some definitions standardizing punctuation and
 capitalization, and spelling out some numbers in text.  This
 generally fall in the category of "style", although some of the
 clarifications go into message definitions.  However, that simple
 analysis does not explain why the AUTH48 phase took almost two
 months.
 This document's AUTH48 process was part of the "GitHub experiment",
 which tried to use GitHub pull requests to track the AUTH48 changes
 and review comments.  The RFC Production Center (RPC) staff had to
 learn using GitHub for that process, and this required more work than
 the usual RFC.  The author and AD thoroughly reviewed each proposed
 edit, accepting some and rejecting some.  The concern there was that
 any change in a complex specification might affect a protocol that
 was extensively reviewed in the working group, but of course these
 reviews added time to the AUTH48 delays.
 There are 21 implementations listed in the Wiki of the TLS 1.3
 project [TLS13IMP].  It has been deployed on major browsers, and is
 already used in a large fraction of TLS connections.

3.4. RFC 8355

 "Resiliency Use Cases in Source Packet Routing in Networking (SPRING)
 Networks" [RFC8355] is an Informational RFC.  It originated from an
 informational use-case draft; it was mostly used for the BOF creating
 the WG, and then to drive initial work and evolutions from the WG.
 Status (Length):    Informational (13 pages)
 Overview:           2 individual drafts; 13 WG drafts
 First draft:        2014-01-31
 WG adoption:        2014-05-13
 Last Call start:    2017-04-20
 IESG eval. start:   2017-05-04 (draft 09)
 IESG approved:      2017-12-19 (draft 12)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-03-12
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-03-27
 Published:          2018-03-28
 Minor set of copy edits, mostly for style.
 No implementation of the RFC itself, but the technology behind it
 (such as Segment Routing Architecture [RFC8402] and TI-LFA [TI-LFA])
 is widely implemented and deployment is ongoing.
 According to participants in the discussion, the process of adoption
 of the source packet routing standards was very contentious.  The
 establishment of consensus at both the working group level and the
 IETF level was difficult and time-consuming.

3.5. RFC 8441

 "Bootstrapping WebSockets with HTTP/2" [RFC8441]
 Status (Length):    Proposed Standard (8 pages)
 Overview:           3 individual drafts; 8 WG drafts; Updates RFC
                     6455
 First draft:        2017-10-15
 WG adoption:        2017-12-19
 Last Call start:    2018-05-07 (draft 05)
 IESG eval. start:   2018-05-29 (draft 06)
 IESG approved:      2018-06-18 (draft 07)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-08-13
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-09-15
 Published:          2018-09-18
 IANA action:        table entries
 This RFC defines the support of WebSockets in HTTP/2, which is
 different from the mechanism defined for HTTP/1.1 in [RFC6455].  The
 process was relatively straightforward, involving the usual type of
 discussions, some on details and some on important points.
 Comparing the final draft and published RFC shows a minor set of copy
 edits, mostly for style.  However, the author recalls a painful
 process.  The RFC includes many charts and graphs that were very
 difficult to format correctly in the author's production process that
 involved conversions from markdown to XML, and then from XML to text.
 The author had to get substantial help from the RFC Editor.
 There are several implementations, including Firefox and Chrome,
 making RFC 8441 a very successful specification.

3.6. RFC 8324

 "DNS Privacy, Authorization, Special Uses, Encoding, Characters,
 Matching, and Root Structure: Time for Another Look?"  [RFC8324].
 This is an opinion piece on DNS development, published on the
 Independent Stream.
 Status (Length):    Informational (29 pages)
 Overview:           5 individual drafts; Independent Stream
 First draft:        2017-06-02
 ISE review start:   2017-07-10 (draft 03)
 IETF conflict review start:  2017-10-29
 Approved:           2017-12-18 (draft 04)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-01-29 (draft 05)
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-02-26
 Published:          2018-02-27
 This RFC took only 9 months from first draft to publication, which is
 the shortest in the 2018 sample set.  In part, this is because the
 text was privately circulated and reviewed by the ISE's selected
 experts before the first draft was published.  The nature of the
 document is another reason for the short delay.  It is an opinion
 piece and does not require the same type of consensus building and
 reviews as a protocol specification.
 Comparing the final draft and the published version shows only minor
 copy edits, mostly for style.  According to the author, this is
 because he knows how to write in RFC style with the result that his
 documents often need a minimum of editing.  He also makes sure that
 the document on which the RFC Production Center starts working
 already has changes discussed and approved during Last Call and IESG
 review incorporated, rather than expecting the Production Center to
 operate off of notes about changes to be made.

3.7. RFC 8377

 "Transparent Interconnection of Lots of Links (TRILL): Multi-
 Topology" [RFC8377]
 Status (Length):    Proposed Standard (20 pages)
 Overview:           3 individual drafts; 7 WG drafts; Updates RFCs
                     6325 and 7177
 First draft:        2013-09-03
 WG adoption:        2015-09-01
 Last Call start:    2018-02-19 (draft 05)
 IESG eval. start:   2018-03-06 (draft 05)
 IESG approved:      2018-03-12 (draft 06)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-04-20 (draft 06)
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-07-31
 Published:          2018-07-31
 IANA action:        table entries
 Minor set of copy edits, mostly for style, also clarity.

3.8. RFC 8498

 "A P-Served-User Header Field Parameter for an Originating Call
 Diversion (CDIV) Session Case in the Session Initiation Protocol
 (SIP)" [RFC8498].
 Status (Length):    Informational (15 pages)
 Overview:           5 individual drafts; 9 WG drafts
 First draft:        2016-03-21
 WG adoption:        2017-05-15
 Last Call start:    2018-10-12 (draft 05)
 IESG eval. start:   2018-11-28 (draft 07)
 IESG approved:      2018-12-11 (draft 08)
 AUTH48 start:       2019-01-28
 AUTH48 complete:    2019-02-13
 Published:          2019-02-14
 IANA action:        table rows added.
 Copy edits for style, but also clarification of ambiguous sentences.

3.9. RFC 8479

 "Storing Validation Parameters in PKCS#8" [RFC8479]
 Status (Length):    Informational (8 pages)
 Overview:           5 individual drafts; Independent Stream
 First draft:        2017-08-08
 ISE review start:   2018-12-10 (draft 00)
 IETF conflict review start:  2018-03-29
 Approved:           2018-08-20 (draft 03)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-09-20 (draft 04)
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-09-25
 Published:          2018-09-26
 The goal of the draft was to document what the gnutls implementation
 was using for storing provably generated RSA keys.  This is a short
 RFC that was published relatively quickly, although discussion
 between the author, the Independent Submissions Editor, and the IESG
 lasted several months.  In the initial conflict review, the IESG
 asked the ISE to not publish this document before IETF working groups
 had an opportunity to pick up the work.  The author met that
 requirement by a presentation to the SECDISPATCH WG during IETF 102.
 Since no WG was interested in picking up the work, the document
 progressed on the Independent Stream.
 Very minor set of copy edits, moving some references from normative
 to informative.
 The author is not aware of other implementations than gnutls relying
 on this RFC.

3.10. RFC 8453

 "Framework for Abstraction and Control of TE Networks (ACTN)"
 [RFC8453]
 Status (Length):    Informational (42 pages)
 Overview:           3 individual drafts; 16 WG drafts
 First draft:        2015-06-15
 WG adoption:        2016-07-15
 Out of WG:          2018-01-26 (draft 11)
 Expert review requested:  2018-02-13
 Last Call start:    2018-04-16 (draft 13)
 IESG eval. start:   2018-05-16 (draft 14)
 IESG approved:      2018-06-01 (draft 15)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-08-13
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-08-20
 Published:          2018-08-23
 IANA action:        table rows added.
 Minor copy editing.

3.11. RFC 8429

 "Deprecate Triple-DES (3DES) and RC4 in Kerberos" [RFC8429]
 Status (Length):    BCP (10 pages)
 Overview:           6 WG drafts
 First draft:        2017-05-01
 Last Call start:    2017-07-16 (draft 03)
 IESG eval. start:   2017-08-18 (draft 04)
 IESG approved:      2018-05-25 (draft 05)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-07-24
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-10-31
 Published:          2018-10-31
 IANA action:        table rows added.
 This draft started as a working group effort.
 This RFC recommends deprecating two encryption algorithms that are
 now considered obsolete and possibly broken.  The document was sent
 back to the WG after the first Last Call, edited, and then there was
 a second Last Call.  The delay from first draft to Working Group Last
 Call was relatively short, but the number may be misleading.  The
 initial draft was a replacement of a similar draft in the KITTEN
 Working Group, which stagnated for some time before the CURDLE
 Working Group took up the work.  The deprecation of RC4 was somewhat
 contentious, but the WG had already debated this prior to the
 production of this draft, and the draft was not delayed by this
 debate.
 Most of the 280 days between IETF LC and IESG approval were because
 the IESG had to talk about whether this document should obsolete RFC
 4757 or move it to Historic status, and no one was really actively
 pushing that discussion for a while.
 The 99 days in AUTH48 are mostly because one of the authors was a
 sitting AD, and those duties ended up taking precedence over
 reviewing this document.
 Minor copy editing, for style.
 The implementation of the draft would be the actual removal of
 support for 3DES and RC4 in major implementations.  This is
 happening, but very slowly.

3.12. RFC 8312

 "CUBIC for Fast Long-Distance Networks" [RFC8312]
 Status (Length):    Informational (18 pages)
 Overview:           2 individual drafts; 8 WG drafts
 First draft:        2014-09-01
 WG adoption:        2015-06-08
 Last Call start:    2017-09-18 (draft 06)
 IESG eval. start:   2017-10-04
 IESG approved:      2017-11-14 (draft 07)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-01-08
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-02-07
 Published:          2018-02-07
 IANA action:        table rows added.
 Minor copy editing, for style.
 The TCP congestion control algorithm Cubic was first defined in 2005,
 was implemented in Linux soon after, and was implemented in major
 OSes after that.  After some debates from 2015 to 2015, the TCPM
 Working Group adopted the draft, with a goal of documenting Cubic in
 the RFC Series.  According to the authors, this was not a high-
 priority effort, as Cubic was already implemented in multiple OSes
 and documented in research papers.  At some point, only one of the
 authors was actively working on the draft.  This may explain why
 another two years was spent progressing the draft after adoption by
 the WG.
 The RFC publication may or may not have triggered further
 implementations.  On the other hand, several OSes picked up bug fixes
 from the draft and the RFC.

3.13. RFC 8492

 "Secure Password Ciphersuites for Transport Layer Security (TLS)"
 [RFC8492]
 Status (Length):    Informational (40 pages)
 Overview:           10 individual drafts; 8 WG drafts; Independent
                     Stream
 First draft:        2012-09-07
 Targeted to ISE:    2016-08-05
 ISE review start:   2017-05-10 (draft 01)
 IETF conflict review start:  2017-09-04
 Approved:           2017-10-29 (draft 02)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-10-19 (draft 05)
 AUTH48 complete:    2019-02-19
 Published:          2019-02-21
 IANA action:        table rows added.
 This RFC has a complex history.  The first individual draft was
 submitted to the TLS Working Group on September 7, 2012.  It
 progressed there, and was adopted by the WG after 3 revisions.  There
 were then 8 revisions in the TLS WG, until the WG decided to not
 progress it.  The draft was parked in 2013 by the WG chairs after
 failing to get consensus in WG Last Call.  The AD finally pulled the
 plug in 2016, and the draft was then resubmitted to the ISE.
 At that point, the author was busy and was treating this RFC with a
 low priority because, in his words, it would not be a "real RFC".
 There were problems with the draft that only came up late.  In
 particular, it had to wait for a change in registry policy that only
 came about with the publication of TLS 1.3, which caused the draft to
 be published after RFC 8446, and also required adding references to
 TLS 1.3.  The author also got a very late comment while in AUTH48
 that caused some rewriting.  Finally, there was some IANA issue with
 the extension registry where a similar extension was added by someone
 else.  The draft was changed to just use it.
 Changes in AUTH48 include adding a reference to TLS 1.3, copy editing
 for style, some added requirements, added paragraphs, and changes in
 algorithms specification.

3.14. RFC 8378

 "Signal-Free Locator/ID Separation Protocol (LISP) Multicast"
 [RFC8378] is an Experimental RFC, defining how to implement Multicast
 in the LISP architecture.
 Status (Length):    Experimental (21 pages)
 Overview:           5 individual drafts; 10 WG drafts
 First draft:        2014-02-28
 WG adoption:        2015-12-21
 Last Call start:    2018-02-13 (draft 07)
 IESG eval. start:   2018-02-28 (draft 08)
 IESG approved:      2018-03-12 (draft 09)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-04-23
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-05-02
 Published:          2018-05-02
 Preparing the RFC took more than 4 years.  According to the authors,
 they were not aggressively pushing it and just let the working group
 process decide to pace it.  They also did implementations during that
 time.
 Minor copy editing, for style.
 The RFC was implemented by lispers.net and Cisco, and it was used in
 doing IPv6 multicast over IPv4 unicast/multicast at the Olympics in
 PyeungChang.  The plan is to work on a Proposed Standard once the
 experiment concludes.

3.15. RFC 8361

 "Transparent Interconnection of Lots of Links (TRILL): Centralized
 Replication for Active-Active Broadcast, Unknown Unicast, and
 Multicast (BUM) Traffic" [RFC8361]
 Status (Length):    Proposed Standard (17 pages)
 Overview:           3 individual drafts; 14 WG drafts
 First draft:        2013-11-12
 WG adoption:        2014-12-16
 Last Call start:    2017-11-28 (draft 10)
 IESG eval. start:   2017-12-18 (draft 11)
 IESG approved:      2018-01-29 (draft 13)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-03-09
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-04-09
 Published:          2018-04-12
 According to the authors, the long delays in producing this RFC were
 due to a slow uptake of the technology in the industry.
 Minor copy editing, for style.
 There was at least one partial implementation.

3.16. RFC 8472

 "Transport Layer Security (TLS) Extension for Token Binding Protocol
 Negotiation" [RFC8472]
 Status (Length):    Proposed Standard (8 pages)
 Overview:           1 individual draft; 15 WG drafts
 First draft:        2015-05-29
 WG adoption:        2015-09-11
 Last Call start:    2017-11-13 (draft 10)
 IESG eval. start:   2018-03-19
 IESG approved:      2018-07-20 (draft 14)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-09-17
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-09-25
 Published:          2018-10-08
 This is a pretty simple document, but it took over 3 years from
 individual draft to RFC.  According to the authors,the biggest
 setbacks occurred at the start: it took a while to find a home for
 this draft.  It was presented in the TLS WG (because it's a TLS
 extension) and UTA WG (because it has to do with applications using
 TLS).  Then the ADs determined that a new WG was needed, so the
 authors had to work through the WG creation process, including
 running a BOF.
 Minor copy editing, for style, with the addition of a reference to
 TLS 1.3.
 Perhaps partially due to the delays, some of the implementers lost
 interest in supporting this RFC.

3.17. RFC 8471

 "The Token Binding Protocol Version 1.0" [RFC8471]
 Status (Length):    Proposed Standard (18 pages)
 Overview:           1 individual draft; 19 WG drafts
 First draft:        2014-10-13
 WG adoption:        2015-03-15
 Last Call start:    2017-11-13 (draft 16)
 IESG eval. start:   2018-03-19
 IESG approved:      2018-07-20 (draft 19)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-09-17
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-09-25
 Published:          2018-10-08
 This document presents a Token Binding Protocol for TLS.  We can
 notice a period of 5 months before adoption of the draft by the WG.
 That explains in part the overall time of almost 4 years from first
 draft to publication.
 Minor copy editing, for style.
 The web references indicate adoption in multiple development
 projects.

3.18. RFC 8466

 "A YANG Data Model for Layer 2 Virtual Private Network (L2VPN)
 Service Delivery" [RFC8466]
 Status (Length):    Proposed Standard (158 pages)
 Overview:           5 individual drafts; 11 WG drafts
 First draft:        2016-09-01
 WG adoption:        2017-02-26
 Last Call start:    2018-02-21 (draft 07)
 IESG eval. start:   2018-03-14 (draft 08)
 IESG approved:      2018-06-25 (draft 10)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-09-17
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-10-09
 Published:          2018-10-12
 Copy editing for style and clarity, with also corrections to the YANG
 model.

3.19. RFC 8362

 "OSPFv3 Link State Advertisement (LSA) Extensibility" [RFC8362] is a
 major extension to the OSPF protocol.  It makes OSPFv3 fully
 extensible.
 Status (Length):    Proposed Standard (33 pages)
 Overview:           4 individual drafts; 24 WG drafts
 First draft:        2013-02-17
 WG adoption:        2013-10-15
 Last Call start:    2017-12-19 (draft 19)
 IESG eval. start:   2018-01-18 (draft 20)
 IESG approved:      2018-01-29 (draft 23)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-03-19
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-03-30
 Published:          2018-04-03
 The specification was first submitted as an individual draft in the
 IPv6 WG, then moved to the OSPF WG.  The long delay of producing this
 RFC is due to the complexity of the problem, and the need to wait for
 implementations.  It is a very important change to OSPF that makes
 OSPFv3 fully extensible.  Since it was a non-backward compatible
 change, the developers started out with some very complex migration
 scenarios but ended up with either legacy or extended OSPFv3 LSAs
 within an OSPFv3 routing domain.  The initial attempts to have a
 hybrid mode of operation with both legacy and extended LSAs also
 delayed implementation due to the complexity.
 Copy editing for style and clarity.
 This specification either was or will be implemented by all the
 router vendors.

3.20. RFC 8468

 "IPv4, IPv6, and IPv4-IPv6 Coexistence: Updates for the IP
 Performance Metrics (IPPM) Framework" [RFC8468].
 Status (Length):    Informational (15 pages)
 Overview:           3 individual drafts; 7 WG drafts
 First draft:        2015-08-06
 WG adoption:        2016-07-04
 Last Call start:    2018-04-11 (draft 04)
 IESG eval. start:   2018-05-24 (draft 05)
 IESG approved:      2018-07-10 (draft 06)
 AUTH48 start:       2018-09-13
 AUTH48 complete:    2018-11-05
 Published:          2018-11-14
 RFC 8468 was somehow special in that there was not a technical reason
 or interest that triggered it, but rather a formal requirement.
 While writing RFC 7312, the IP Performance Metrics (IPPM) Working
 Group realized that RFC 2330, the IP Performance Metrics Framework
 supported IPv4 only and explicitly excluded support for IPv6.
 Nevertheless, people used the metrics that were defined on top of RFC
 2330 (and, therefore, IPv4 only) for IPv6, too.  Although the IPPM WG
 agreed that the work was needed, the interest of IPPM attendees in
 progressing (and reading/reviewing) the IPv6 draft was limited.
 Resolving the IPv6 technical part was straightforward, but
 subsequently some people asked for a broader scope (topics like
 header compression, 6LoWPAN, etc.), and it took some time to figure
 out and later on convince people that these topics are out of scope.
 The group also had to resolve contentious topics, for example, how to
 measure the processing of IPv6 extension headers, which is sometimes
 nonstandard.
 The time in AUTH48 state for this document was longer than average.
 According to the authors, the main reasons include:
  • Workload and travel caused by busy work periods of all coauthors
  • Time zone difference between coauthors and editor (at least US,

Europe, and India, not considering travel)

  • RFC Production Center proposed and committed some unacceptable

modifications that needed to be reverted

  • Lengthy discussions on a new document title (required high effort

and took a long time, in particular reaching consensus between

    coauthors and editor was time-consuming and involved the AD)
  • RFC Production Center correctly identified some nits (obsoleted

personal websites of coauthors) and coauthors attempting to fix

    them.
 The differences between the final draft and the published RFC show
 copy editing for style and clarity, but do not account for the back
 and forth between authors and editors mentioned by the authors.

4. Analysis of Process and Delays

 We examine the 20 RFCs in the sample, measuring various
 characteristics such as delay and citation counts, in an attempt to
 identify patterns in the IETF processes.

4.1. Delays from First Draft to RFC

 We look at the distribution of delays between the submission of the
 first draft and the publication of the RFC, using the three
 milestones defined in Section 2.1: processing time in the working
 group, IETF processing time, and RFC production time.  The following
 table shows the number of days in each phase for the 20 RFCs in the
 sample:
     +======+============+=======+=========+======+======+======+
     |  RFC | Status     | Pages | Overall |   WG | IETF | Edit |
     +======+============+=======+=========+======+======+======+
     | 8411 | Info       |     5 |     455 |  154 |  140 |  161 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8456 | Info       |    64 |    1317 | 1033 |  126 |  158 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8446 | PS         |   160 |    1576 | 1400 |   34 |  142 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8355 | Info       |    13 |    1517 | 1175 |  243 |   99 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8441 | PS         |     8 |     327 |  204 |   31 |   92 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8324 | Info (ISE) |    29 |     270 |   38 |  161 |   71 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8377 | PS         |     8 |    1792 | 1630 |   21 |  141 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8498 | Info       |    15 |    1059 |  935 |   59 |   65 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8479 | Info (ISE) |     8 |     414 |  233 |  144 |   37 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8453 | Info       |    42 |    1165 | 1036 |   46 |   83 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8429 | BCP        |    10 |     548 |   76 |  313 |  159 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8312 | Info       |    18 |    1214 | 1113 |   16 |   85 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8492 | Info (ISE) |    40 |    2358 | 1706 |  172 |  480 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8378 | Exp        |    21 |    1524 | 1446 |   27 |   51 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8361 | PS         |    17 |    1612 | 1477 |   62 |   73 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8472 | PS         |     8 |    1228 |  899 |  249 |   80 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8471 | PS         |    18 |    1228 |  899 |  249 |   80 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8466 | PS         |   158 |     771 |  538 |  124 |  109 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8362 | PS         |    33 |    1871 | 1766 |   41 |   64 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | 8468 | Info       |    15 |    1196 |  979 |   90 |  127 |
     +------+------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | average           |    35 |    1172 |  948 |  117 |  118 |
     +-------------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
     | average (not ISE) |    36 |    1200 |  999 |  110 |  104 |
     +-------------------+-------+---------+------+------+------+
                               Table 1
 The average delay from first draft to publication is about 3 years
 and 3 months, but this varies widely.  Excluding the RFCs from the
 Independent Stream, the average delay from start to finish is 3 years
 and 4 months, of which on average 2 years and 9 months are spent
 getting consensus in the working group, and 3 to 4 months each for
 IETF consensus and for RFC production.
 The longest delay is found for [RFC8492], 6.5 years from start to
 finish.  This is however a very special case -- a draft that was
 prepared for the TLS Working Group and failed to reach consensus.
 After that, it was resubmitted to the ISE, and incurred atypical
 production delays.
 On average, we see that 80% of the delay is incurred in WG
 processing, 10% in IETF review, and 10% for edition and publication.
 For IETF Stream RFCs, it appears that the delays for Informational
 documents are slightly shorter than those for protocol
 specifications, maybe six months shorter on average.  However, there
 are lots of differences between individual documents.  The delays
 range from less than a year to more than 5 years for protocol
 specifications, and from a year and 3 months to a bit more than 4
 years for Informational documents.
 We can compare the delays in the 2018 samples to those observed 10
 years ago and 20 years before:
              +============+============+=======+=======+
              | RFC (2008) | Status     | Pages | Delay |
              +============+============+=======+=======+
              | 5326       | Exp        |    54 |  1584 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5348       | PS         |    58 |   823 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5281       | Info       |    51 |  1308 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5354       | Exp        |    23 |  2315 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5227       | PS         |    21 |  2434 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5329       | PS         |    12 |  1980 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5277       | PS         |    35 |   912 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5236       | Info (ISE) |    26 |  1947 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5358       | BCP        |     7 |   884 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5271       | Info       |    22 |  1066 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5195       | PS         |    10 |   974 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5283       | PS         |    12 |  1096 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5186       | Info       |     6 |  2253 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5142       | PS         |    13 |  1005 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5373       | PS         |    24 |  1249 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5404       | PS         |    27 |   214 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5172       | PS         |     7 |   305 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5349       | Info       |    10 |  1096 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5301       | PS         |     6 |   396 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
              | 5174       | Info       |     8 |   427 |
              +------------+------------+-------+-------+
                                Table 2
             +============+============+=======+=========+
             | RFC (1998) | Status     | Pages |   Delay |
             +============+============+=======+=========+
             | 2289       | PS         |    25 |     396 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2267       | Info       |    10 | unknown |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2317       | BCP        |    10 |     485 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2404       | PS         |     7 |     488 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2374       | PS         |    12 |     289 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2449       | PS         |    19 |     273 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2283       | PS         |     9 |     153 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2394       | Info       |     6 |     365 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2348       | DS         |     5 |     699 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2382       | Info       |    30 |     396 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2297       | Info (ISE) |   109 |      28 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2381       | PS         |    43 |     699 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2312       | Info       |    20 |     365 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2387       | PS         |    10 |     122 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2398       | Info       |    15 |     396 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2391       | PS         |    10 |     122 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2431       | PS         |    10 |     457 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2282       | Info       |    14 |     215 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2323       | Info (ISE) |     5 | unknown |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
             | 2448       | Info (ISE) |     7 |      92 |
             +------------+------------+-------+---------+
                                Table 3
 We can compare the median delay, and the delays observed by the
 fastest and slowest quartiles in the three years:
             +======+=============+========+=============+
             | Year | Fastest 25% | Median | Slowest 25% |
             +======+=============+========+=============+
             | 2018 |         715 |   1221 |        1537 |
             +------+-------------+--------+-------------+
             | 2008 |         869 |   1081 |        1675 |
             +------+-------------+--------+-------------+
             | 1998 |         169 |    365 |         442 |
             +------+-------------+--------+-------------+
                                Table 4
 The IETF takes three to four times more to produce an RFC in 2018
 than it did in 1998, but about the same time as it did in 2008.  We
 can get a rough estimate of how this translates in terms of "level of
 attention" per RFC by comparing the number of participants in the
 IETF meetings of 2018, 2008, and 1998 [IETFCOUNT] to the number of
 RFCs published these years [RFCYEAR].
  +======+=========+========+========+======+=========+============+
  | Year | Number  | Spring | Summer | Fall | Average | Attendees/ |
  |      | of RFCs |     P. |     P. |   P. |      P. | RFC        |
  +======+=========+========+========+======+=========+============+
  | 2018 |     208 |   1235 |   1078 |  879 |    1064 | 5.1        |
  +------+---------+--------+--------+------+---------+------------+
  | 2008 |     290 |   1128 |   1181 |  962 |    1090 | 3.8        |
  +------+---------+--------+--------+------+---------+------------+
  | 1998 |     234 |   1775 |   2106 | 1705 |    1862 | 8.0        |
  +------+---------+--------+--------+------+---------+------------+
                               Table 5
 The last column in the table provides the ratio of average number of
 participants to the number of RFCs published.  If the IETF were a
 centralized organization, and if all participants and documents were
 equivalent, this ratio would be the number of participants dedicated
 to produce an RFC on a given year.  This is of course a completely
 abstract figure because none of the hypotheses above are true, but it
 still gives a vague indication of the "level of attention" applied to
 documents.  We see that this ratio has increased from 2008 to 2018,
 as the number of participants was about the same for these two years
 but the number of published RFCs decreased.  However, this ratio was
 much higher in 1998.  The IETF had many more participants, and there
 were probably many more eyes available to review any given draft.  If
 we applied the ratios of 1998, the IETF would be producing 119
 documents in 2018 instead of 208.

4.2. Working Group Processing Time

 The largest part of the delays is spent in the working groups, before
 the draft is submitted to the IESG for IETF review.  As mentioned in
 Section 2.1, the only intermediate milestone that we can extract from
 the IETF Datatracker is the date at which the document was adopted by
 the working group, or targeted for independent submission.  The
 breakdown of the delays for the documents in our sample is:
    +======+============+======+================+================+
    | RFC  | Status     |   WG | Until adoption | After adoption |
    +======+============+======+================+================+
    | 8411 | Info       |  154 |              0 |            154 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8456 | Info       | 1033 |            209 |            824 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8446 | PS         | 1400 |              0 |           1400 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8355 | Info       | 1175 |            102 |           1073 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8441 | PS         |  204 |             65 |            139 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8324 | Info (ISE) |   38 |              0 |             38 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8377 | PS         | 1630 |            728 |            902 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8498 | Info       |  935 |            420 |            515 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8479 | Info (ISE) |  233 |              0 |            233 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8453 | Info       | 1036 |            396 |            640 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8429 | BCP        |   76 |              0 |             76 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8312 | Info       | 1113 |            280 |            833 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8492 | Info (ISE) | 1706 |           1428 |            278 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8378 | Exp        | 1446 |            661 |            785 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8361 | PS         | 1477 |            399 |           1078 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8472 | PS         |  899 |            105 |            794 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8471 | PS         | 1127 |            153 |            794 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8466 | PS         |  538 |            178 |            360 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8362 | PS         | 1766 |            240 |           1526 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | 8468 | Info       |  979 |            333 |            646 |
    +------+------------+------+----------------+----------------+
    | Average           |  948 |            285 |            663 |
    +-------------------+------+----------------+----------------+
                               Table 6
 The time before working group adoption averages to a bit more than 9
 months, compared to 1 year and almost 10 months for processing time
 after adoption.  We see that RFC 8492 stands out, with long delays
 spent attempting publication through a working group before
 submission to the Independent Submissions Editor.  If we remove RFC
 8492 from the list, the average time until adoption drops to just
 over 7 months, and becomes just 25% of the total processing time in
 the WG.
 There are a few documents that started immediately as working group
 efforts, or were immediately targeted for publication in the
 Independent Stream.  Those documents tend to see short processing
 times, with the exception of RFC 8446 on which the TLS Working Group
 spent a long time working.

4.3. Preparation and Publication Delays

 The preparation and publication delays include three components:
  • the delay from submission to the RFC Editor to beginning of

AUTH48, during which the document is prepared (referred to as "RFC

    edit" below);
  • the AUTH48 delay, during which authors review and eventually

approve the changes proposed by the editors (referred to as

    "AUTH48" below);
  • the publication delay, from final agreement by authors and editors

to actual publication (referred to as "RFC Pub" below).

 The breakdown of the publication delays for each RFC is shown in the
 following table.
  +=======+========+=======+==========+========+=========+=========+
  |   RFC | Status | Pages | RFC edit | AUTH48 | RFC Pub |    Edit |
  |       |        |       |          |        |         | (total) |
  +=======+========+=======+==========+========+=========+=========+
  |  8411 | Info   |     5 |       53 |     88 |      20 |     161 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8456 | Info   |    64 |       98 |     46 |      14 |     158 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8446 | PS     |   160 |       85 |     57 |       0 |     142 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8355 | Info   |    13 |       83 |     15 |       1 |      99 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8441 | PS     |     8 |       56 |     33 |       3 |      92 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8324 | Info   |    29 |       42 |     28 |       1 |      71 |
  |       | (ISE)  |       |          |        |         |         |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8377 | PS     |     8 |       39 |    102 |       0 |     141 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8498 | Info   |    15 |       48 |     16 |       1 |      65 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8479 | Info   |     8 |       31 |      5 |       1 |      37 |
  |       | (ISE)  |       |          |        |         |         |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8453 | Info   |    42 |       73 |      7 |       3 |      83 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8429 | BCP    |    10 |       60 |     99 |       0 |     159 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8312 | Info   |    18 |       55 |     28 |       2 |      85 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8492 | Info   |    40 |      355 |    123 |       2 |     480 |
  |       | (ISE)  |       |          |        |         |         |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8378 | Exp    |    21 |       42 |      9 |       0 |      51 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8361 | PS     |    17 |       39 |     31 |       3 |      73 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8472 | PS     |     8 |       59 |      8 |      13 |      80 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8471 | PS     |    18 |       59 |      8 |      13 |      80 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8466 | PS     |   158 |       84 |     22 |       3 |     109 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8362 | PS     |    33 |       49 |     11 |       4 |      64 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  |  8468 | Info   |    15 |       65 |     53 |       9 |     127 |
  +-------+--------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  | Average        |       |       74 |     39 |       5 |     118 |
  +----------------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
  | Average        |       |       59 |     35 |       5 |      99 |
  | (without 8492) |       |          |        |         |         |
  +----------------+-------+----------+--------+---------+---------+
                               Table 7
 On average, the total delay appears to be about four months, but the
 average is skewed by the extreme values encountered for [RFC8492].
 If we exclude that RFC from the computations, the average delay drops
 to a just a bit more than 3 months: about 2 months for the
 preparation, a bit more than one month for the AUTH48 phase, and 5
 days for the publishing.
 Of course, these delays vary from RFC to RFC.  To try explain the
 causes of the delay, we compute the correlation factor between the
 observed delays and several plausible explanation factors:
  • the number of pages in the document,
  • the amount of copy editing, as discussed in Section 4.4,
  • whether or not IANA actions were required,
  • the number of authors,
  • the number of draft revisions,
  • the working group delay.
 We find the following values:
        +===================+==========+========+=============+
        | Correlation       | RFC edit | AUTH48 | Edit(total) |
        +===================+==========+========+=============+
        | Number of pages   |     0.50 |  -0.04 |        0.21 |
        +-------------------+----------+--------+-------------+
        | Copy-Edit         |     0.42 |   0.24 |        0.45 |
        +-------------------+----------+--------+-------------+
        | IANA              |    -0.14 |  -0.21 |        0.12 |
        +-------------------+----------+--------+-------------+
        | Number of authors |     0.39 |  -0.07 |        0.18 |
        +-------------------+----------+--------+-------------+
        | Number of drafts  |     0.18 |  -0.33 |       -0.19 |
        +-------------------+----------+--------+-------------+
        | WG delay          |     0.03 |  -0.16 |       -0.15 |
        +-------------------+----------+--------+-------------+
                                Table 8
 We see some plausible explanations for the production delay.  It will
 be somewhat longer for longer documents or for documents that require
 a lot of copy editing (see Section 4.4).  Somewhat surprisingly, it
 also tends to increase with the number of authors.  It does not
 appear significantly correlated with the presence or absence of IANA
 action.
 The analysis of RFC 8324 in Section 3.6 explains its short editing
 delays by the experience of the author.  This makes sense: if a
 document needs less editing, the editing delays would be shorter.
 This is partially confirmed by the relation between the amount of
 copy editing and the publication delay.
 We see fewer plausible explanations for the AUTH48 delays.  These
 delays vary much more than the preparation delay, with a standard
 deviation of 20 days for AUTH48 versus 10 days for the preparation
 delay.  In theory, AUTH48 is just a final verification: the authors
 receive the document prepared by the RFC production center, and just
 have to give their approval, or maybe request a last minute
 correction.  The name indicates that this is expected to last just
 two days, but in average it lasts more than a month.
 We often hypothesize that the number of authors influences the AUTH48
 delay, or that authors who have spent a long time working on the
 document in the working group somehow get demotivated and spend even
 longer to answer questions during AUTH48.  This may happen sometimes,
 but our statistics don't show that - if anything, the numerical
 results point in the opposite direction.
 After asking the authors of the RFCs in the sample why the AUTH48
 phase took a long time, we got three explanations:
 1.  Some RFCs have multiple authors in multiple time zones.  This
     slows down the coordination required for approving changes.
 2.  Some authors found some of the proposed changes unnecessary or
     undesirable, and asked that they be reversed.  This required long
     exchanges between authors and editors.
 3.  Some authors were not giving high priority to AUTH48 responses.
 As mentioned above, we were not able to verify these hypotheses by
 looking at the data.  The author's experience with this document
 suggests another potential delay for the Independent Stream RFC:
 processing delay by the Independent Submissions Editor, discussed in
 Section 4.5.

4.4. Copy Editing

 We can assess the amount of copy editing applied to each published
 RFC by comparing the text of the draft approved for publication and
 the text of the RFC.  We do expect differences in the "boilerplate"
 and in the IANA section, but we will also see differences due to copy
 editing.  Assessing the amount of copy editing is subjective, and we
 do it using a scale of 1 to 4:
 1:  Minor editing
 2:  Editing for style, such as capitalization, hyphens, "that" versus
     "which", and expanding all acronyms at least once.
 3:  Editing for clarity in addition to style, such as rewriting
     ambiguous sentences and clarifying use of internal references.
     For YANG models, that may include model corrections suggested by
     the verifier.
 4:  Extensive editing.
 The following table shows that about half of the RFCs required
 editing for style, and the other half at least some editing for
 clarity.
                   +======+============+===========+
                   |  RFC | Status     | Copy Edit |
                   +======+============+===========+
                   | 8411 | Info       |         2 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8456 | Info       |         4 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8446 | PS         |         3 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8355 | Info       |         2 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8441 | PS         |         2 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8324 | Info (ISE) |         2 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8377 | PS         |         3 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8498 | Info       |         3 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8479 | Info (ISE) |         1 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8453 | Info       |         2 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8429 | BCP        |         2 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8312 | Info       |         2 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8492 | Info (ISE) |         3 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8378 | Exp        |         2 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8361 | PS         |         2 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8472 | PS         |         2 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8471 | PS         |         2 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8466 | PS         |         3 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8362 | PS         |         3 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                   | 8468 | Info       |         3 |
                   +------+------------+-----------+
                                Table 9
 This method of assessment does not take into account the number of
 changes proposed by the editors and eventually rejected by the
 authors, since these changes are not present in either the final
 draft or the published RFC.  It might be possible to get an
 evaluation of these "phantom changes" from the RFC Production Center.

4.5. Independent Stream

 Out of 20 randomly selected RFCs, 3 were published through the
 Independent Stream.  One is an independent opinion, another a
 description of a non-IETF protocol format, and the third was
 [RFC8492], which is a special case.  Apart from this special case,
 the publication delays were significantly shorter for the Independent
 Stream than for the IETF Stream.
 The authors of these 3 RFCs are regular IETF contributors.  This
 observation motivated a secondary analysis of all the RFCs published
 in the Independent Stream in 2018.  There are 14 such RFCs: 8507,
 8494, 8493, 8492, 8483, 8479, 8433, 8409, 8374, 8369, 8367, 8351,
 8328, and 8324.  (RFCs 8367 and 8369 were published on 1 April 2018.)
 The majority of the documents were published by regular IETF
 participants, but two of them were not.  One describes "The BagIt
 File Packaging Format (V1.0)" [RFC8493], and the other the "Yeti DNS
 Testbed" [RFC8483].  They document a data format and a system
 developed outside the IETF and illustrate the outreach function of
 the Independent Stream.  In both cases, the authors include one
 experienced IETF participant, who presumably helped outsiders
 navigate the publication process.
 The present document experienced some publication delays due to the
 Independent Submissions Editor.  The ISE is a bottleneck and is a
 volunteer resource.  Although the ISE as a lone person operating as a
 volunteer is still roughly adequate resource for the job, the
 delivery will necessarily be best effort with delays caused by spikes
 in ISE load, work commitments, and other life events.  These delays
 may not be fundamentally critical to RFC delivery, but they are
 capable of introducing a significant percentage delay into what might
 otherwise be a smooth process.

5. Citation Counts

 In this exploration, we want to examine whether citation counts
 provide a meaningful assessment of the popularity of RFCs.  We obtain
 the citation counts through the Semantic Scholar API, using queries
 of the form: <https://api.semanticscholar.org/v1/paper/10.17487/
 rfc8446?include_unknown_references=true>
 In these queries, the RFC is uniquely identified by its DOI
 reference, which is composed of the RFC Series prefix 10.17487 and
 the RFC identifier.  The queries return a series of properties,
 including a list of citations for the RFC.  Based on that list of
 citations, we compute three numbers:
  • The total number of citations
  • The number of citations in the year of publication and the year

after that

  • For the RFC published in 1998 or 2008 that we use for comparison,

the number of citations in the years 2018 and 2019.

 All the numbers were retrieved on October 6, 2019.

5.1. Citation Numbers

 As measured on October 6, 2019, the citation counts for the RFC in
 our sample set were:
            +============+============+=======+===========+
            | RFC (2018) | Status     | Total | 2018-2019 |
            +============+============+=======+===========+
            | 8411       | Info       |     1 |         0 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8456       | Info       |     1 |         1 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8446       | PS         |   418 |       204 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8355       | Info       |     3 |         3 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8441       | PS         |     1 |         1 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8324       | Info (ISE) |     0 |         0 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8377       | PS         |     0 |         0 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8498       | Info       |     0 |         0 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8479       | Info (ISE) |     0 |         0 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8453       | Info       |     3 |         3 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8429       | BCP        |     0 |         0 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8312       | Info       |    25 |        16 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8492       | Info (ISE) |     4 |         4 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8378       | Exp        |     1 |         1 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8361       | PS         |     0 |         0 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8472       | PS         |     1 |         1 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8471       | PS         |     1 |         1 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8466       | PS         |     0 |         0 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8362       | PS         |     1 |         1 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
            | 8468       | Info       |     1 |         1 |
            +------------+------------+-------+-----------+
                                Table 10
 The results indicate that [RFC8446] is by far the most cited of the
 20 RFC in our sample.  This is not surprising, since TLS is a key
 Internet Protocol.  The TLS 1.3 protocol was also the subject of
 extensive studies by researchers, and thus was mentioned in a number
 of published papers.  Surprisingly, the Semantic Scholar mentions a
 number of citations that predate the publication date.  These are
 probably citations of the various draft versions of the protocol.
 The next most cited RFC in the sample is [RFC8312] which describes
 the Cubic congestion control algorithm for TCP.  That protocol was
 also the target of a large number of academic publications.  The
 other RFCs in the sample only have a small number of citations.
 There is probably a small bias when measuring citations at a fixed
 date.  An RFC published in January 2018 would have more time to
 accrue citations than one published in December.  That may be true to
 some extent, as the second most cited RFC in the set was published in
 January.  However, the effect has to be limited.  The most cited RFC
 was published in August, and the second most cited was published in
 2019.  (That RFC got an RFC number in 2018, but publication was
 slowed by long AUTH48 delays.)

5.2. Comparison to 1998 and 2008

 In order to get a baseline, we can look at the number of references
 for the RFCs published in 2008 and 1998.  However, we need to take
 time into account.  Documents published a long time ago are expected
 to have accrued more references.  We try to address this by looking
 at three counts for each document: the overall number of references
 over the document's lifetime, the number of references obtained in
 the year following publication, and the number of references observed
 since 2018:
      +============+============+=======+===========+===========+
      | RFC (2008) | Status     | Total | 2008-2009 | 2018-2019 |
      +============+============+=======+===========+===========+
      | 5326       | Exp        |   138 |        14 |        15 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5348       | PS         |    14 |         3 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5281       | Info       |    69 |        15 |         7 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5354       | Exp        |    17 |        13 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5227       | PS         |    19 |         1 |         2 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5329       | PS         |    24 |         6 |         1 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5277       | PS         |    32 |         3 |         2 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5236       | Info (ISE) |    25 |         5 |         4 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5358       | BCP        |    21 |         2 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5271       | Info       |     7 |         2 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5195       | PS         |     7 |         4 |         2 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5283       | PS         |     8 |         1 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5186       | Info       |    14 |         4 |         2 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5142       | PS         |     8 |         4 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5373       | PS         |     5 |         2 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5404       | PS         |     1 |         1 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5172       | PS         |     2 |         0 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5349       | Info       |     8 |         0 |         2 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5301       | PS         |     5 |         1 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 5174       | Info       |     0 |         0 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
                                Table 11
      +============+============+=======+===========+===========+
      | RFC (1998) | Status     | Total | 1998-1999 | 2018-2019 |
      +============+============+=======+===========+===========+
      | 2289       | PS         |     2 |         0 |         1 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2267       | Info       |   982 |         5 |        61 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2317       | BCP        |     9 |         1 |         2 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2404       | PS         |   137 |         6 |         1 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2374       | PS         |    42 |         4 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2449       | PS         |     7 |         2 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2283       | PS         |    17 |         3 |         2 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2394       | Info       |    13 |         2 |         1 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2348       | DS         |     5 |         0 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2382       | Info       |    17 |        12 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2297       | Info (ISE) |    36 |        11 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2381       | PS         |    39 |        12 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2312       | Info       |    14 |         3 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2387       | PS         |     4 |         1 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2398       | Info       |    17 |         0 |         1 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2391       | PS         |    31 |         3 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2431       | PS         |     3 |         0 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2282       | Info       |     8 |         0 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2323       | Info (ISE) |     1 |         0 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
      | 2448       | Info (ISE) |     0 |         0 |         0 |
      +------------+------------+-------+-----------+-----------+
                                Table 12
 We can compare the median number of citations and the numbers of
 citations for the least and most popular quartiles in the three
 years:
   +============================+===========+========+============+
   | References                 | Lower 25% | Median | Higher 25% |
   +============================+===========+========+============+
   | RFC (2018)                 |         0 |      1 |          3 |
   +----------------------------+-----------+--------+------------+
   | RFC (2008)                 |       6.5 |     11 |      21.75 |
   +----------------------------+-----------+--------+------------+
   | RFC (2008), until 2009     |         1 |    2.5 |        4.5 |
   +----------------------------+-----------+--------+------------+
   | RFC (2008), 2018 and after |         0 |      0 |          2 |
   +----------------------------+-----------+--------+------------+
   | RFC (1998)                 |      4.75 |   13.5 |      32.25 |
   +----------------------------+-----------+--------+------------+
   | RFC (1998), until 1999     |         0 |      2 |       4.25 |
   +----------------------------+-----------+--------+------------+
   | RFC (1998), 2018 and after |         0 |      0 |          1 |
   +----------------------------+-----------+--------+------------+
                               Table 13
 The total numbers show new documents with fewer citations than the
 older ones.  This can be explained to some degree by the passage of
 time.  If we restrict the analysis to the number of citations accrued
 in the year of publishing and the year after that, we still see about
 the same distribution for the three samples.
 We also see that the number of references to RFCs fades over time.
 Only the most popular of the RFC produced in 1998 are still cited in
 2019.

5.3. Citations versus Deployments

 The following table shows side by side the number of citations as
 measured in Section 5.1 and the estimation of deployment as indicated
 in Section 3.
         +============+============+===========+============+
         | RFC (2018) | Status     | Citations | Deployment |
         +============+============+===========+============+
         | 8411       | Info       |         1 |     medium |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8456       | Info       |         1 |     medium |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8446       | PS         |       418 |       high |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8355       | Info       |         3 |     medium |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8441       | PS         |         1 |       high |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8324       | Info (ISE) |         0 |        N/A |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8377       | PS         |         0 |    unknown |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8498       | Info       |         0 |    unknown |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8479       | Info (ISE) |         0 |        one |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8453       | Info       |         3 |    unknown |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8429       | BCP        |         0 |       some |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8312       | Info       |        25 |       high |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8492       | Info (ISE) |         4 |        one |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8378       | Exp        |         1 |       some |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8361       | PS         |         0 |        one |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8472       | PS         |         1 |     medium |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8471       | PS         |         1 |     medium |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8466       | PS         |         0 |    unknown |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8362       | PS         |         1 |     medium |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
         | 8468       | Info       |         1 |       some |
         +------------+------------+-----------+------------+
                               Table 14
 From looking at these results, it is fairly obvious that citation
 counts cannot be used as proxies for the "value" of an RFC.  In our
 sample, the two RFCs that have high citation counts were both widely
 deployed, and can certainly be described as successful, but we also
 see many RFCs that saw significant deployment without garnering a
 high level of citations.
 Citation counts are driven by academic interest, but are only loosely
 correlated with actual deployment.  We saw that [RFC8446] was widely
 cited in part because the standardization process involved many
 researchers, and that the high citation count of [RFC8312] is largely
 due to the academic interest in evaluating congestion control
 protocols.  If we look at previous years, the most cited RFC in the
 2008 sample is [RFC5326], an experimental RFC defining security
 extensions to an experimental delay tolerant transport protocol.
 This protocol does not carry a significant proportion of Internet
 traffic, but has been the object of a fair number of academic
 studies.
 The citation process tends to privilege the first expression of a
 concept.  We see that with the most cited RFC in the 1998 set is
 [RFC2267], an informational RFC defining Network Ingress Filtering
 that was obsoleted in May 2000 by [RFC2827].  It is still cited
 frequently in 2018 and 2019, regardless of its formal status in the
 RFC Series.  We see the same effect at work with [RFC8441], which
 garners very few citations although it updates [RFC6455] that has a
 large number of citations.  The same goes for [RFC8468], which is
 sparsely cited while the [RFC2330] is widely cited.  Just counting
 citations will not indicate whether developers still use an old
 specification or have adopted the revised RFC.

5.4. Citations versus Web References

 Web references might be another indicator of the popularity of an
 RFC.  In order to evaluate these references, we list here the number
 of results returned by searches on Google and Bing, looking for the
 search term "RFCnnnn" (e.g., "RFC8411"), and copying the number of
 results returned by the search engines.  The table below presents the
 results of these searches, performed on April 4, 2020.
       +============+============+===========+========+=======+
       | RFC (2018) | Status     | Citations | Google |  Bing |
       +============+============+===========+========+=======+
       | 8411       | Info       |         1 |    301 |    94 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8456       | Info       |         1 |    266 |  8456 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8446       | PS         |       418 |  25900 | 47800 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8355       | Info       |         3 |    521 |   114 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8441       | PS         |         1 |   2430 | 59500 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8324       | Info (ISE) |         0 |    393 |   138 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8377       | PS         |         0 |    264 | 10900 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8498       | Info       |         0 |    335 | 10100 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8479       | Info (ISE) |         0 |    564 | 11000 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8453       | Info       |         3 |    817 | 11400 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8429       | BCP        |         0 |    391 | 41600 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8312       | Info       |        25 |   1620 |  2820 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8492       | Info (ISE) |         4 |    323 |  9400 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8378       | Exp        |         1 |    418 | 11600 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8361       | PS         |         0 |    499 |    92 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8472       | PS         |         1 |    496 |   169 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8471       | PS         |         1 |   1510 | 11600 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8466       | PS         |         0 |    766 |   173 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8362       | PS         |         1 |     67 |   147 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
       | 8468       | Info       |         1 |    453 |   127 |
       +------------+------------+-----------+--------+-------+
                               Table 15
 The result counts from Bing are sometimes surprising.  Why would RFC
 8441 gather 59,500 web references?  Looking at the results in detail,
 we find a mix of data.  Some of them are logs of development projects
 implementing Web Sockets, which is exactly what we are looking for,
 but others appear spurious.  For example, a shop selling rugby
 jerseys is listed because its phone number ends with "8441".  Other
 pages were listed because street numbers or product numbers matched
 the RFC number.  The same type of collision may explain the large
 reference counts on Bing for RFCs 8377, 8498, 8479, 8453, 8429, 8378,
 and 8471.  The result counts on Bing do not appear to provide a good
 metric.
 On Google, all RFCs garner at least a 250 references, largely because
 the whole RFC catalog is replicated on a large number of web servers.
 Deviations from that baseline are largely correlated with the number
 of citations in the Semantic Scholar, with a couple of exception: RFC
 8441 and RFC 8471 garner more references than the low citation counts
 would predict.  Looking at the results, we find many references in
 development databases explaining how these protocols are implemented
 in various code bases and open source projects.  This means that
 counting Google results would give some indication about an RFC's
 popularity, complementing the citation counts.
 There are some practical problems in using the counts of Google
 results.  Google searches are personalized, the results depend on the
 source of the queries, and the counts may vary as well.  The search
 results depend on the search algorithm, and there is no guarantee
 that counts will not change when the algorithm changes.  On the other
 hand, the results do indicate that some of the RFCs in our sample are
 being used by developers or in deployments.

6. Observations and Next Steps

 The author's goal was to get a personal understanding of the "chain
 of production" of the RFCs, and in particular to look at the various
 causes of delays in the process.  As shown in Section 4, the average
 RFC was produced in 3 years and 4 months, which is similar to what
 was found in the 2008 sample, but more than three times larger than
 the delays for the 1998 sample.
 The working group process appears to be the main source of delays.
 Efforts to diminish delays should probably focus there, instead of on
 the IETF and IESG reviews or the RFC production.  For the RFC
 production phase, most of the variability originates in the AUTH48
 process, which is influenced by a variety of factors such as number
 of authors or level of engagement of these authors.
 Most of the delay is spent in the working group, but the IETF
 Datatracker does not hold much information about what happens inside
 the working groups.  For example, events like Working Group Last
 Calls were not recorded in the history of the selected drafts
 available in the Datatracker.  Such information would have been
 interesting.  Of course, requiring that information would create an
 administrative burden, so there is clearly a trade-off between
 requiring more work from working group chairs and providing better
 data for process analysis.  (It appears that this information can be
 available in the Datatracker for more recent drafts, if the WG chairs
 use the Datatracker properly.)
 The Independent Stream operates as expected.  The majority of the
 authors of the Independent Stream RFCs appear to be in IETF insiders,
 but there is significant amount of engagement by outside parties.
 The analysis of citations in Section 5.1 shows that citation numbers
 are a very poor indication of the "value" of an RFC.  Citation
 numbers measure the engagement of academic researchers with specific
 topics, but have little correlation with the level of adoption and
 deployment of a specific RFC.  The result counts of Google searches
 do capture references outside academia, such as logs of development
 projects.  This might be informative, but it is not clear that the
 counts would not change over time due to algorithm changes or
 personalization.
 This document analyses a small sample of RFCs "in depth".  This
 allowed gathering of detailed feedback on the process and the
 deployments.  On the other hand, much of the data on delays is
 available from the IETF Datatracker.  It may be worth considering
 adding an automated reporting of delay metrics in the IETF
 Datatracker.
 This document only considers the RFCs that were published in a given
 year.  This approach can be criticized as introducing a form of
 "survivor bias".  There are many drafts proposed to the IETF, and
 only a fraction of them end up being published as RFCs.  On one hand,
 this is expected, because part of the process is to triage between
 ideas that can gather consensus and those that don't.  On the other
 hand, we don't know whether that triage is too drastic and has
 discouraged progress on good ideas.
 One way to evaluate the triage process would be to look at
 publication attempts that were abandoned -- for example, drafts that
 expired without progressing or being replaced.  The sampling
 methodology could also be used for that purpose.  Pick maybe 20
 drafts at random, among those abandoned in a target year, and
 investigate why they were abandoned.  Was it because better solutions
 emerged in the working group?  Or maybe because the authors
 discovered a flaw in their proposal?  Or was it because some
 factional struggle blocked a good idea?  Was the idea pursued in a
 different venue?  Hopefully, someone will try this kind of
 investigation.

7. Security Considerations

 This document does not specify any protocol.
 We might want to analyze whether security issues were discovered
 after publication of specific standards.

8. IANA Considerations

 This document has no IANA actions.
 Preliminary analysis does not indicate that IANA is causing any
 particular delay in the RFC publication process.

9. Informative References

 [IETFCOUNT]
            IETF, "Past IETF Meetings",
            <https://www.ietf.org/how/meetings/past/>.
 [RFC2267]  Ferguson, P. and D. Senie, "Network Ingress Filtering:
            Defeating Denial of Service Attacks which employ IP Source
            Address Spoofing", RFC 2267, DOI 10.17487/RFC2267, January
            1998, <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc2267>.
 [RFC2330]  Paxson, V., Almes, G., Mahdavi, J., and M. Mathis,
            "Framework for IP Performance Metrics", RFC 2330,
            DOI 10.17487/RFC2330, May 1998,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc2330>.
 [RFC2827]  Ferguson, P. and D. Senie, "Network Ingress Filtering:
            Defeating Denial of Service Attacks which employ IP Source
            Address Spoofing", BCP 38, RFC 2827, DOI 10.17487/RFC2827,
            May 2000, <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc2827>.
 [RFC5326]  Ramadas, M., Burleigh, S., and S. Farrell, "Licklider
            Transmission Protocol - Specification", RFC 5326,
            DOI 10.17487/RFC5326, September 2008,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc5326>.
 [RFC6455]  Fette, I. and A. Melnikov, "The WebSocket Protocol",
            RFC 6455, DOI 10.17487/RFC6455, December 2011,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc6455>.
 [RFC8312]  Rhee, I., Xu, L., Ha, S., Zimmermann, A., Eggert, L., and
            R. Scheffenegger, "CUBIC for Fast Long-Distance Networks",
            RFC 8312, DOI 10.17487/RFC8312, February 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8312>.
 [RFC8324]  Klensin, J., "DNS Privacy, Authorization, Special Uses,
            Encoding, Characters, Matching, and Root Structure: Time
            for Another Look?", RFC 8324, DOI 10.17487/RFC8324,
            February 2018, <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8324>.
 [RFC8355]  Filsfils, C., Ed., Previdi, S., Ed., Decraene, B., and R.
            Shakir, "Resiliency Use Cases in Source Packet Routing in
            Networking (SPRING) Networks", RFC 8355,
            DOI 10.17487/RFC8355, March 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8355>.
 [RFC8361]  Hao, W., Li, Y., Durrani, M., Gupta, S., and A. Qu,
            "Transparent Interconnection of Lots of Links (TRILL):
            Centralized Replication for Active-Active Broadcast,
            Unknown Unicast, and Multicast (BUM) Traffic", RFC 8361,
            DOI 10.17487/RFC8361, April 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8361>.
 [RFC8362]  Lindem, A., Roy, A., Goethals, D., Reddy Vallem, V., and
            F. Baker, "OSPFv3 Link State Advertisement (LSA)
            Extensibility", RFC 8362, DOI 10.17487/RFC8362, April
            2018, <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8362>.
 [RFC8377]  Eastlake 3rd, D., Zhang, M., and A. Banerjee, "Transparent
            Interconnection of Lots of Links (TRILL): Multi-Topology",
            RFC 8377, DOI 10.17487/RFC8377, July 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8377>.
 [RFC8378]  Moreno, V. and D. Farinacci, "Signal-Free Locator/ID
            Separation Protocol (LISP) Multicast", RFC 8378,
            DOI 10.17487/RFC8378, May 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8378>.
 [RFC8402]  Filsfils, C., Ed., Previdi, S., Ed., Ginsberg, L.,
            Decraene, B., Litkowski, S., and R. Shakir, "Segment
            Routing Architecture", RFC 8402, DOI 10.17487/RFC8402,
            July 2018, <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8402>.
 [RFC8410]  Josefsson, S. and J. Schaad, "Algorithm Identifiers for
            Ed25519, Ed448, X25519, and X448 for Use in the Internet
            X.509 Public Key Infrastructure", RFC 8410,
            DOI 10.17487/RFC8410, August 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8410>.
 [RFC8411]  Schaad, J. and R. Andrews, "IANA Registration for the
            Cryptographic Algorithm Object Identifier Range",
            RFC 8411, DOI 10.17487/RFC8411, August 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8411>.
 [RFC8429]  Kaduk, B. and M. Short, "Deprecate Triple-DES (3DES) and
            RC4 in Kerberos", BCP 218, RFC 8429, DOI 10.17487/RFC8429,
            October 2018, <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8429>.
 [RFC8441]  McManus, P., "Bootstrapping WebSockets with HTTP/2",
            RFC 8441, DOI 10.17487/RFC8441, September 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8441>.
 [RFC8446]  Rescorla, E., "The Transport Layer Security (TLS) Protocol
            Version 1.3", RFC 8446, DOI 10.17487/RFC8446, August 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8446>.
 [RFC8453]  Ceccarelli, D., Ed. and Y. Lee, Ed., "Framework for
            Abstraction and Control of TE Networks (ACTN)", RFC 8453,
            DOI 10.17487/RFC8453, August 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8453>.
 [RFC8455]  Bhuvaneswaran, V., Basil, A., Tassinari, M., Manral, V.,
            and S. Banks, "Terminology for Benchmarking Software-
            Defined Networking (SDN) Controller Performance",
            RFC 8455, DOI 10.17487/RFC8455, October 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8455>.
 [RFC8456]  Bhuvaneswaran, V., Basil, A., Tassinari, M., Manral, V.,
            and S. Banks, "Benchmarking Methodology for Software-
            Defined Networking (SDN) Controller Performance",
            RFC 8456, DOI 10.17487/RFC8456, October 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8456>.
 [RFC8466]  Wen, B., Fioccola, G., Ed., Xie, C., and L. Jalil, "A YANG
            Data Model for Layer 2 Virtual Private Network (L2VPN)
            Service Delivery", RFC 8466, DOI 10.17487/RFC8466, October
            2018, <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8466>.
 [RFC8468]  Morton, A., Fabini, J., Elkins, N., Ackermann, M., and V.
            Hegde, "IPv4, IPv6, and IPv4-IPv6 Coexistence: Updates for
            the IP Performance Metrics (IPPM) Framework", RFC 8468,
            DOI 10.17487/RFC8468, November 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8468>.
 [RFC8471]  Popov, A., Ed., Nystroem, M., Balfanz, D., and J. Hodges,
            "The Token Binding Protocol Version 1.0", RFC 8471,
            DOI 10.17487/RFC8471, October 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8471>.
 [RFC8472]  Popov, A., Ed., Nystroem, M., and D. Balfanz, "Transport
            Layer Security (TLS) Extension for Token Binding Protocol
            Negotiation", RFC 8472, DOI 10.17487/RFC8472, October
            2018, <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8472>.
 [RFC8479]  Mavrogiannopoulos, N., "Storing Validation Parameters in
            PKCS#8", RFC 8479, DOI 10.17487/RFC8479, September 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8479>.
 [RFC8483]  Song, L., Ed., Liu, D., Vixie, P., Kato, A., and S. Kerr,
            "Yeti DNS Testbed", RFC 8483, DOI 10.17487/RFC8483,
            October 2018, <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8483>.
 [RFC8492]  Harkins, D., Ed., "Secure Password Ciphersuites for
            Transport Layer Security (TLS)", RFC 8492,
            DOI 10.17487/RFC8492, February 2019,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8492>.
 [RFC8493]  Kunze, J., Littman, J., Madden, E., Scancella, J., and C.
            Adams, "The BagIt File Packaging Format (V1.0)", RFC 8493,
            DOI 10.17487/RFC8493, October 2018,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8493>.
 [RFC8498]  Mohali, M., "A P-Served-User Header Field Parameter for an
            Originating Call Diversion (CDIV) Session Case in the
            Session Initiation Protocol (SIP)", RFC 8498,
            DOI 10.17487/RFC8498, February 2019,
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8498>.
 [RFCYEAR]  RFC Editor, "Number of RFC Published per YEAR",
            <https://www.rfc-editor.org/rfcs-per-year/>.
 [SSCH]     Allen Institute for AI, "Semantic Scholar | AI-Powered
            Research Tool", <https://www.semanticscholar.org/>.
 [TI-LFA]   Litkowski, S., Bashandy, A., Filsfils, C., Decraene, B.,
            and D. Voyer, "Topology Independent Fast Reroute using
            Segment Routing", Work in Progress, Internet-Draft, draft-
            ietf-rtgwg-segment-routing-ti-lfa-05, 15 November 2020,
            <https://tools.ietf.org/html/draft-ietf-rtgwg-segment-
            routing-ti-lfa-05>.
 [TLS13IMP] TLS WG, "TLS 1.3 Implementations", commit dcb7890, 14
            October 2019, <https://github.com/tlswg/tlswg-
            wiki/blob/master/IMPLEMENTATIONS.md>.
 [TRKR]     IETF, "IETF Datatracker", <https://datatracker.ietf.org/>.

Acknowledgements

 Many thanks to the authors of the selected RFCs who were willing to
 provide feedback on the process: Michael Ackermann, Zafar Ali, Sarah
 Banks, Bruno Decraene, Lars Eggert, Nalini Elkins, Joachim Fabini,
 Dino Farinacci, Clarence Filsfils, Sujay Gupta, Dan Harkins, Vinayak
 Hegde, Benjamin Kaduk, John Klensin, Acee Lindem, Nikos
 Mavrogiannopoulos, Patrick McManus, Victor Moreno, Al Morton, Andrei
 Popov, Eric Rescorla, Michiko Short, Bhuvaneswaran Vengainathan, Lao
 Weiguo, and Li Yizhou.  Many thanks to Adrian Farrel for his useful
 advice, to Stephen Farrell and Colin Perkins for their guidance on
 the use of citations, and to Dave Crocker for a comprehensive review.
 Thanks also to Alice Russo and the RFC Editor team for their work
 improving this document and checking the accuracy of the data.

Author's Address

 Christian Huitema
 Private Octopus Inc.
 427 Golfcourse Rd
 Friday Harbor, WA 98250
 United States of America
 Email: huitema@huitema.net
/home/gen.uk/domains/wiki.gen.uk/public_html/data/pages/rfc/rfc8963.txt · Last modified: 2021/01/22 19:21 by 127.0.0.1

Donate Powered by PHP Valid HTML5 Valid CSS Driven by DokuWiki